The NFL’s yr of the underdog continues. In Week 2, underdogs went a stable 9-7 in opposition to the unfold. It wasn’t fairly as sturdy as their 12-4 report in Week 1, but it surely nonetheless brings their whole report on the yr to 21-11. So, 65.6 % of the time, underdogs have coated this yr.
Will that pattern proceed to final? Most likely not. There ought to be regression to the imply in some unspecified time in the future.
That stated, there are nonetheless loads of high quality underdogs for NFL bettors to belief. Bettors simply have to know the developments and matchups that profit these groups; additionally they ought to have a look at the betting odds to see which groups are undervalued and which groups are overvalued after two weeks of NFL motion.
IYER: Contenders and pretenders after two weeks of the 2021 NFL season
The primary two weeks of the NFL season have given bettors much more data in regards to the 2021 NFL season, however the NFL can shift quickly from week to week. Want an instance? How in regards to the Saints and Packers. In Week 1, the Saints received by 35 and held Inexperienced Bay to only three factors. In Week 2, the Packers beat the Lions by 18 whereas the Saints have been manhandled by the Panthers protection and held to seven factors in a loss.
Accidents additionally proceed to shift the NFL panorama. Numerous gamers went down throughout the massacre that was Week 2, and now 4 groups are coping with quarterback issues. Tyrod Taylor will not play for the Texans on “Thursday Evening Soccer” whereas Carson Wentz (Colts), Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) and Andy Dalton (knee) are all questionable at greatest this week. That might have an effect on their groups as they appear to cowl.
The accidents may additionally trigger some late-week line strikes. So, if you happen to like how a line appears to be like now, it could be greatest to wager it early and to make sure it would not skyrocket if any QB is asserted out.
For extra knowledgeable NFL predictions, take a look at Sporting Information’ picks straight up and in opposition to the unfold for Week 3.
WEEK 3 NFL PICKS: In opposition to the unfold | Straight up
NFL odds for Week 3
Under are the newest Week 3 NFL odds, together with level spreads, cash traces and over-under totals for each sport, in line with FanDuel Sportsbook.
Final up to date: Sunday, Sept. 26
NFL level spreads Week 3
|Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans||CAR -7.5|
|Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville Jaguars||ARI -7.5|
|Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans||TEN -4.5|
|Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions||BAL -7.5|
|Washington Soccer Crew at Buffalo Payments||BUF -7|
|New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots||NE -3|
|Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs||KC -7|
|Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns||CLE -7.5|
|Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers||PIT -2.5|
|Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants||NYG -2.5|
|Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders||LV -3.5|
|New York Jets at Denver Broncos||DEN -10.5|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams||TB -1.5|
|Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings||SEA -2.5|
|Inexperienced Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers||SF -3|
|Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys||DAL -3.5|
NFL cash traces Week 3
|Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans||CAR -375|
|Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville Jaguars||ARI -375|
|Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans||TEN -235|
|Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions||BAL -390|
|Washington Soccer Crew at Buffalo Payments||BUF -330|
|New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots||NE -154|
|Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs||KC -320|
|Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns||CLE -335|
|Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers||PIT -148|
|Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants||NYG -144|
|Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders||LV -188|
|New York Jets at Denver Broncos||DEN -600|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams||TB -120|
|Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings||SEA -132|
|Inexperienced Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers||SF -162|
|Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys||DAL -176|
NFL over-unders Week 3
|Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans||43.5|
|Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville Jaguars||51.5|
|Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans||47.5|
|Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions||50.5|
|Washington Soccer Crew at Buffalo Payments||45.5|
|New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots||42.5|
|Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs||54.5|
|Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns||44.5|
|Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers||43.5|
|Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants||47.5|
|Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders||44|
|New York Jets at Denver Broncos||42|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams||55.5|
|Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings||54.5|
|Inexperienced Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers||50.5|
|Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys||51.5|
NFL POWER RANKINGS: New workforce climbs to No. 2 spot
NFL greatest bets for Week 3
Chargers (+6.5) at Chiefs
The Chiefs are nonetheless seen as the favourite to win the AFC, however they’ve hit a few bumps within the highway to start out the season. Notably, their protection has been dangerous, and that is one thing of which the Chargers can take benefit.
Kansas Metropolis has allowed an NFL-high 469 whole yards per sport. Their 202 speeding yards allowed per sport additionally tops the NFL, although that quantity is skewed a bit by having performed Lamar Jackson and Nick Chubb.
It is true that the Chiefs have performed formidable offenses in Weeks 1 and a pair of. The Browns and the Ravens each possess weapons on the bottom and stable teams of pass-catchers, however the Chargers boast a equally sturdy offense led by Justin Herbert.
Herbert threw for 337 yards in his first sport and 338 yards in his second. He has had a few turnovers however largely, he has helped the Chargers’ offense to maintain buzzing. With Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Jared Prepare dinner and Austin Ekeler in tow, he has a variety of weapons that he can use to choose aside Kansas Metropolis’s protection.
It is also value noting that latest Chargers vs. Chiefs video games have been shut. 4 of the final 5 video games have been determined by seven factors or fewer. Los Angeles simply all the time appears to discover a solution to keep in video games in opposition to Kansas Metropolis.
As such, we just like the Chargers right here to cowl. They might not win outright, however getting 6.5 factors with an offense this good is a threat value taking. We’ll even be positioned to earn a possible backdoor cowl if the Chiefs are main by two possessions late, so this looks like a stable worth.
NFL MVP ODDS: Tom Brady in a three-man race, per newest Vegas odds
Titans (-5.5) vs. Colts
The Colts are in dire straits on the quarterback place. Carson Wentz is coping with two sprained ankles and might not be able to play Sunday. If he cannot go, Jacob Eason will doubtless begin with Brett Hundley serving because the backup. Neither conjures up a lot hope, even in opposition to a porous Tennessee protection.
The Titans lack expertise on protection and have allowed the third-most factors per sport within the NFL this season (34). Nevertheless, they need to have extra success in opposition to Eason, who has solely thrown 5 profession passes of which one was intercepted, or Wentz on two dangerous ankles.
On the floor, 5.5 factors might seem to be loads for the Titans contemplating that the Colts hung with the Rams final week. That stated, latest Colts vs. Titans video games have not actually been shut, because the winner has outscored the loser by a median of 12.9 factors during the last 10 video games. And solely two of these video games in whole have been determined by lower than a landing.
This all makes the Titans appear like an interesting wager, particularly since they can tire out the Colts’ protection through the use of Derrick Henry. If they’ll do this, they need to have an opportunity to win by double digits. Betting on them to win by lower than a landing is an efficient worth.
Broncos (-10.5) vs. Jets
The Broncos are a workforce to belief as soon as once more. The primary motive for trusting Denver this time is not due to Teddy Bridgewater’s sterling 37-13-1 report in opposition to the unfold. It is all about Vic Fangio in opposition to rookie quarterbacks.
Fangio may not fairly be Invoice Belichick-level in opposition to rookies, however he has logged a 19-9 report in opposition to them since turning into a defensive coordinator in 1995. The contains wins over Peyton Manning, Donovan McNabb and Justin Herbert.
You do not have to look far for an much more latest pattern both. Denver beat Trevor Lawrence’s Jaguars in Week 2 and coated a six-point unfold. They received by 10 factors.
Fangio’s defenses have allowed 33 touchdowns whereas recording 26 interceptions in 28 video games in opposition to rookie quarterbacks. Zach Wilson simply confronted Belichick and the Patriots and threw 4 interceptions whereas scoring six factors. He might discover it troublesome to maneuver the ball as soon as once more.
Trusting the Broncos to cowl a ten.5-point unfold might not sound thrilling in concept, however the Broncos ought to have defensive success in opposition to Wilson very similar to the Patriots did. And because the Broncos have higher offensive weapons than the Patriots, they need to have the ability to win this one by double digits. The one factor we must always have to fret about is a possible backdoor cowl.