What have you learnt, we had one other wild week within the NFL (and every day fantasy soccer)! Kansas Metropolis and Tampa Bay every misplaced, Denver and Carolina continued their undefeated begins, and Jason Tucker prolonged the report for longest subject objective of all time to 66 yards. We’re two sentences in, and I’m already sweating! Let’s hold the insanity going and bounce into Week 4 of our DFS values and sleeper picks!
Should you’re a fan of DFS, otherwise you identical to to search out an edge or angle with all of your football-related bets, this column will likely be up your alley all season. Every week, I scour the participant swimming pools on DraftKings and FanDuel, and compile a listing of sleepers and/or worth picks that will help you win some chilly, onerous money. The extra worth gamers you add, the extra money you should have left for confirmed weekly studs at different roster spots.
MORE WEEK 4 DFS: Finest stacks | Lineup Builder
Should you learn this column forward of Week 3, you’ll have benefited from our recommendation to plug a plethora of low-cost, high-value gamers into your DFS lineups. Right here’s a brief record of a few of our hits from final week, together with every participant’s DraftKings value and closing PPR output:
- Daniel Jones ($5,800): 16.54 fantasy factors
- Chase Edmonds ($5,700): 14.5
- Mike Davis ($5,200): 11
- Cardinals D/ST ($3,000): 17
Should you drafted any of those cost-efficient choices final week, you’ll have benefited from good, low-cost manufacturing and afforded your self an additional stud or two elsewhere. Getting essentially the most bang on your buck has at all times been the secret in DFS, so it’s essential to do your due diligence earlier than establishing lineups. Go away the deep-diving to us — we’re right here for you from the primary kickoff via the final play of the 2021 NFL season.
With out additional ado, let’s bounce proper into Week 4!
All participant values are from DraftKings and FanDuel. All stats are from NFL.com and Professional Soccer Reference.
WEEK 4 DFS LINEUPS: DraftKings | FanDuel | Yahoo
NFL DFS Picks Week 4: QB sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Aaron Rodgers, Packers vs. Steelers (DK: $6,800 | FD: $7,600)
In fact, Rodgers won’t ever be thought of a “sleeper” for the remainder of his life, however he definitely appears like a worth at $6,800. The Steelers haven’t appeared proper from prime to backside this season — Massive Ben is over the hill, prime receiver Diontae Johnson (knee) is harm, and rookie Najee Harris has an excessive amount of on his plate. The most important concern for Steelers Nation? Their protection has been horrible. A-Rod has been torching opponents in prime time within the two weeks since his abominable season-opener towards the Saints. Look out beneath, Pittsburgh followers, you’re about to get Lambeaued by the fifth-best QB of all time. At QB, I’d relatively spend $6,800 on assured manufacturing within the 20s than throw up a prayer for double-digits at $5,500.
Teddy Bridgewater, Broncos vs. Ravens (DK worth: $5,700 | FD: $6,800)
Bridgewater has turn out to be a favourite of this column, as he stays environment friendly and has Denver taking part in impressed (and undefeated) soccer. Now, he didn’t discover anybody ultimately zone within the Broncos’ win over the Jets final week, however that’s principally as a result of recreation script didn’t name for it. The Jets waved the white flag early in Mile Excessive, and Denver’s operating again tandem ran to their hearts’ content material. (Critically, I don’t know the place these friggin’ idioms come from). Nicely, Teddy B added 235 yards to his banner 12 months, and he’s nonetheless but to throw an interception (knock on wooden in the event you’re with me). Sport script ought to dictate a little bit of an air present towards Baltimore, which is able to pack a a lot greater punch than any of Denver’s first three opponents this season. I don’t assume Bridgewater can have a highlight-reel day, however I do assume he places up 18-plus factors. At $5,700, that’s a flooring you ought to be keen to simply accept.
Matt Ryan, Falcons vs. WFT (DK: $5,000 | FD: $6,700)
If not now, then when? Matty Ice attracts a Washington protection that has been extraordinarily underwhelming following its 2020 run because the fourth-best scoring protection. Buffalo QB Josh Allen had a get-right recreation towards WFT final week, throwing for 358 yards and 4 touchdowns. Now, it’s Ryan’s time to shine. Ron Rivera’s squad is reeling, much more so than the 1-2 Falcons. Ryan hasn’t even been that dangerous — the 2016 MVP has exceeded 75-percent completion charges his previous two video games, has a 300-yard outing and two multi-TD video games, and his QB ranking was 111.2 in Atlanta’s win over a feisty Giants protection final week. Pile onto DC’s distress, Matty.
WEEK 4 PPR RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Operating again | Large receiver | Tight finish | D/ST | Kicker
NFL DFS Picks Week 4: RB sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Jonathan Taylor, Colts at Dolphins (DK: $6,300 | FD: $6,600)
Right here’s one other man who doesn’t qualify as a sleeper, however he completely qualifies as a worth. JT has not precisely introduced horny again this season, as he’s failed to succeed in 65 yards speeding in a recreation, and he’s but to interrupt the aircraft on the bottom or via the air. His QB, Carson Wentz, has been coping with two bum ankles and an o-line that seemingly endures extra accidents every week. For these causes, the second-year again’s weekly value on DraftKings has dropped from $8K to $7,200 to $6,700 and now $6,300. There are many causes for optimism in the event you’re a Taylor truther, although, and there’s loads of upside at these costs. For starters, I traded him away in my most important fantasy league, so he’s a lock to blow up virtually instantly. Additionally, Miami has struggled to comprise the run, rating twenty seventh towards backs in PPR codecs. Lastly, I anticipate a bunch of dump-offs, attracts, and screens this week. With Wentz not at one hundred pc and offensive sort out Quenton Nelson assuredly out with an ankle harm of his personal, what else does Indy have? Second-year receiver Michael Pittman is nice, however Wentz missed him extensive open a number of occasions final week. T.Y. Hilton is probably going nonetheless out with a neck harm. I’m not nervous about Nyheim Hynes — Taylor’s the person, and he may simply go off this week.
Antonio Gibson, Washington Soccer Crew at Falcons (DK: $6,100 | FD: $7,100)
Right here’s one other considered one of my “ride-or-die” guys. Gibson has huge expertise and a ceiling sufficiently big to comprise the Rockefeller Middle Christmas tree, however WFT’s roster has crumbled round him since QB Ryan Fitzpatrick’s unlucky Week 1 hip harm. However the present should go on for the second-year again, and his explosiveness makes him nicely value a $6,100 funding towards a perennial dumpster hearth of a protection like Atlanta. Gibson acquired bottled up on the bottom towards a motivated Payments squad final week, however he took a display screen go 73 yards to the home to make up for it. Gibson continues to enhance as an NFL runner — he’s nonetheless only some years faraway from taking part in extensive receiver — and he’s a buy-low man in nearly each format conceivable. (I’d in all probability commerce my mother-in-law’s Prius for him in my dynasty league. It might be well worth the pressure.)
Zack Moss, Payments vs. Texans (DK: $5,300 | FD: $6,000)
Similar to final 12 months, Payments head coach Sean McDermott and offensive coordinator Brian Daboll appear to be realizing that Moss is a greater operating again than Devin Singletary. Fortunately for DFS individuals, Buffalo’s shift in backfield workloads final week has not coincided with a serious hike in Moss’s prices. The second-year again rushed 13 occasions for 60 yards towards WFT, and he caught all three of his targets for 31 yards and a landing. Now he will get to assist beat up on the lowly Texans, who’ve allowed eight speeding scores in three video games (second most within the NFL) and 273 yards on the bottom over the previous two weeks. Collect that Moss.
WEEK 4 STANDARD RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Operating again | Large receiver | Tight finish | D/ST | Kicker
NFL DFS Picks Week 4: WR sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Courtland Sutton, Broncos (DK: $5,700 | FD: $6,300) and Marquise Brown, Ravens (DK: $5,400 | FD: $6,400)
I doubled up right here, because the Broncos host the Ravens in what must be a high-scoring affair. Sutton had an explosive Week 2 (catching 9-of-12 targets for 159 yards), however recreation script introduced him again to Earth in Denver’s Week 3 laugher at dwelling over the Jets. Nicely, the Ravens deliver way more offensive competitors into city, however their secondary has extra holes than traditional. Baltimore ranks twenty sixth in factors allowed and, unbelievably, thirtieth in passing yards surrendered. With Sutton taking part in so effectively (75-percent catch charge) and garnering 20-25 p.c of Teddy B’s targets, he’s an excellent begin in a recreation projected at 45 whole factors.
On the opposite facet, Marquise “Hollywood” Brown stays the highest downfield menace for the Ravens. Denver’s D has been surprisingly good this season, but it surely hasn’t confronted anyone with the velocity or playmaking capacity of Hollywood. By three weeks, Brown has 15 catches on 23 targets, 235 yards, and two scores. He has averaged 15.7 yards per catch and 78.3 receiving yards per recreation, and he sees the sphere for practically 70 p.c of Baltimore’s offensive snaps. Massive issues will likely be poppin’ for these two younger receivers Sunday.
Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers vs. Seahawks (DK: $5,000 | FD: $5,700)
Don’t look now, however Aiyuk is again. Facet word: why do we are saying “don’t look now” after we need somebody’s consideration? Shouldn’t or not it’s “look out now,” as an alternative? I’m going with that to any extent further. Look out now, readers, Aiyuk is again! After lulling his fantasy homeowners to sleep in Weeks 1 and a couple of with one catch on two whole targets and an offensive snap share only a hair over 50 p.c, Aiyuk got here alive on Sunday Evening Soccer towards Inexperienced Bay. The second-year wideout had 4 catches on six targets for 37 yards and a TD, and most essential, he noticed the sphere for 86 p.c of San Francisco’s offensive performs. I knew Aiyuk would explode onto the scene this weekend after I traded him away in two totally different fantasy leagues. Reverse jinxer, for the win! The Seahawks stay one of many extra beneficiant defenses to extensive receivers in fantasy.
A.J. Inexperienced, Cardinals at Jaguars (DK: $4,500 | FD: $5,600)
Fast, everybody, seize Inexperienced earlier than DraftKings and FanDuel notice he’s good once more! Early-season MVP candidate Kyler Murray appeared Inexperienced’s means six occasions over the weekend, and the seven-time Professional Bowler pulled in 5 catches for 112 yards. With DeAndre Hopkins (ribs) banged up and rookie Rondale Moore extra of an occasional dwelling run hitter, Inexperienced ought to proceed to see a stead workload. With Hopkins doubtless drawing protection from Jalen Ramsey — and the books itemizing the over/beneath for this one at 54.5 (with an implied whole of 24 factors for Arizona) — Inexperienced at $4,500 seems like a no brainer.
NFL DFS Picks Week 4: TE sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Logan Thomas, Washington Soccer Crew at Falcons (DK: $4,900 | FD: $5,800)
I’m bullish on my favourite tight ends like I’m bullish on my favourite penny shares. That is the week, fellow Tom-boys! Not a lot has gone WFT’s means this season, however at the very least Taylor Heinicke appears to be creating chemistry with Thomas. Heinicke appeared his tight finish’s means 4 occasions in Week 3, resulting in 42 yards and a rating in Washington’s 43-21 drubbing by the hands of Buffalo. This weekend’s tilt in Atlanta ought to equally yield a bunch of factors, so hearth up LT82 at these modest prices with out hesitation. The Falcons rank twenty seventh in fantasy factors allowed to tight ends.
Pat Freiermuth, Steelers at Packers (DK: $3,100 | FD: $5,000)
Do you imagine within the energy of the ‘Muth? The Penn State product’s robust play has successfully dismissed Eric Ebron from Pittsburgh’s offense, and but the rookie may be drafted for $200 lower than the veteran on DraftKings. How? Freiermuth grabbed three of his 5 targets final week, considered one of which landed him ultimately zone. Ebron caught none of his three targets. Case closed. Even higher, Ben Roethlisberger’s struggles to throw the deep ball play proper into the younger tight finish’s palms. Everyone will likely be smash-playing rookie Najee Harris after his redonkulous 19 targets towards Cincy final week (Harris caught 14 for 102, in fact, as a result of I traded him final week). I’ve a sneaking suspicion Inexperienced Bay will monitor Harris higher, presumably liberating up the ‘Muth-man. Just one crew has surrendered extra fantasy factors to the tight finish place than the Packers. To my two PSU cousins: Please don’t inform Mr. Freiermuth about this column.
NFL DFS Picks Week 4: D/ST sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel
Indianapolis Colts at Miami Dolphins (DK: $2,700 | FD: $4,600)
After a terrific 2020 marketing campaign, the Colts protection sat close to the highest of many fantasy analysts’ sleepers lists this preseason. They’ve began off 2021 in disappointing trend, with simply 22 fantasy factors via three weeks. Fret not, Indy homeowners, you’re going to South Seaside this week! The Dolphins offense beneath Jacoby Brisset yields way more alternative for defensive factors than the Colts’ earlier three opponents (Seahawks, Rams, and Titans). Give me Indy’s D/ST on a budget.